With a sharp spike in prices of liquefied natural gas (LNG) which has pushed up the cost of production of urea, the fertilizer subsidy is likely to cross Rs 2.5 trillion in the current fiscal, 138% higher than the budget estimate of Rs 1.05 trillion, according to official sources.
The government reckons that the natural gas prices, which constitute about 85% of cost of production for urea, is likely to be at elevated levels in 2023-24 as well.